Welcome one and all to the OFFICIAL TLBS 2021 NFL Mock Draft 3.0! This one, much like the others befor, does not have any trades. So don't get your hopes up.
There may be some picks that are surprising but that's the beauty of the NFL Draft! The craziest stuff happens all the time, so never rule anything out!
Let's not delay this any longer! Here is Mocok Draft 3.0!
1. Jacksonville Jaguars; Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
Trevor Lawrence will go first overall. Trevor Lawrence will get drafted by the Jacksonville Jaguars. Look, we all know this is going to happen. Stop delaying the inevitable and just announce it already.
Now, that being said, though I think it’s a guarantee Lawrence goes number one, I do get some of the concerns. To treat him like a normal prospect, he did get outplayed at times on the biggest stage. Justin Fields last year and Joe Burrow the season before. Does that affect Lawrence’s draft spot for you?
Unless something crazy happens, Lawrence will be playing in Jacksonville by the time this next season comes around.
Other picks; Zach Wilson, QB, BYU; Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State; Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State; Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
2. New York Jets; Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
The second pick in a row that is the exact same as the last two mock drafts. Unless the Jets feel they can salvage Sam Darnold’s confidence/career, they are going to draft Zach Wilson here with the second overall pick.
In some NFL circles, Zach Wilson is ranked higher than the assumed number one overall pick Trevor Lawrence. Though I don’t share the brain with those people, I think Wilson is the joint second best QB in this draft with Justin Fields.
Wilson’s got an extremely live arm, is very accurate, and is very mobile. Though he’s listed at 6’3”, I just refuse to believe that, as do most people on the internet.
Now, I guess that could scare people I guess, but with the likes of Kyler Murray, Baker Mayfield, Russell Wilson, and Drew Brees, size isn’t as important in regards to quarterbacks anymore. That’s not saying people still don’t put emphasis on it.
Another possible “red flag” against Wilson is his reported “character concerns” from an unnamed former NFL GM. Isn’t that funny? “Wilson has character concerns but I’m not going to tell him that to his face, I’m going to hide behind text.” Right, that checks out.
Wilson comes from a smaller school and was not surrounded by any NFL talent, yet put up some insane numbers last season while playing for the Cougars last season. With Wilson at the helm, BYU was consistently in the top 25, and dominated another top-25 caliber team in UCF, throwing for 425 yards and three touchdowns.
The things that hurt Wilson is the fact that though he didn’t play with a lot of NFL talent, he didn’t play any teams with NFL talent.
There’s also the thing that he didn’t have a bad game. Well, playing devil's advocate here, he didn’t play anyone to force him to have a bad game. If he did have a bad game, that would be extremely concerning, I’ll just say that. (I’m not going to bring up the “character concerns” here)
Wilson has an extremely live arm, is very athletic and is smart when he takes off versus when he throws it. He’s also got a lot of swagger, which compares to another BYU quarterback in Jim McMahon. Is he as tough as McMahon? Well that remains to be seen.
One important stat to look at here as well is the fact that the Jets ranked dead last in red zone offense last season, scoring on only 42.11% of their red zone trips in 2020. In this draft, Zach Wilson is the only draft-eligable QB with 100+ career attempts and zero interceptions in the red zone (according to PFF).
By contrast, Sam Darnold completed only 36.67% of his red zone attempts. Which is the fourth lowest out of QBs who have played at least one game, last out of QBs who played more than one game.
After everything I’ve read in regards to this draft, I’d be surprised if Wilson wasn’t the second QB taken. I’d also be surprised if the Jets didn’t take him here at number two. A month or so ago, Wilson said he’d fit best in an offense like Kyle Shanahan. Who’s the Jets new OC? A Shanahan disciple, Mike LaFluer.
I honestly think this’d be a fun marriage in New York. The Sam Darnold experiment didn’t work out, but the future with Wilson could be pretty bright. Take Wilson at number two New Jersey.
Again, IF the Jets feel they can get the best out of Darnold, expect them to trade back with a QB “needy” team and take a weapon like Kyle Pitts or one of the top wide receivers.
Other picks; Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State; Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State; Mac Jones, QB, Alabama; Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU’ DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama; Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama; Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; TRADE for Deshaun Watson; TRADE BACK
3. Miami Dolphins (via Texans); Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU
Again, I have Ja’Marr Chase going to Miami. Also again, I get the links with DeVonta Smith, getting Tua paired up with him again makes a lot of sense. Though the link makes sense, Ja’Marr Chase is the best wide receiver in this draft class, and that’s saying something since Smith is coming off winning the Heisman Trophy.
Though size is not the most important thing to me in regards to scouting a player, I’m not going to pretend that NFL organizations don’t put an emphasis on this. The fact of the matter is, DeVonta Smith weighs 174 lbs. soaking wet. Ja’Marr Chase weighs 207 lbs. Giving him a 33 pound weight advantage. Let’s not pretend that’s not going to matter.
It’s not just that, Ja’Marr Chase is a friggin amazing wide receiver. In his last full season at LSU, Chase led the nation in receiving yards with 1,780 and totalled 20 touchdowns. Winning a National Championship, was named a Unanimous All-American, and was given the Biletnikoff Award for the nation's best receiver.
I know the obvious pick here is to link Tua back up with DeVonta Smith, but I’m starting to think that won’t happen, and I’ll explain more with the DeVonta Smith pick. All in all, when playing, Ja’Marr Chase was the best receiver in college football, regardless who else was playing.
Over the past two seasons, Chase totaled 14 20+ yard touchdowns, the most in college football over that span. The crazy thing is, Chase didn’t play a single snap last season. Meaning he had 14 20+ yard touchdowns in one season! That’s ridiculous.
To me, though I had DeVonta Smith going here last time, Ja’Marr Chase is the best receiver in this draft class. The link makes sense, but sometimes you’ve just got to take the best player available, that’s Ja’Marr Chase.
Other picks; DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama; Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama; Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon; Rashawn Slater iOL/OT, Northwestern; Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; TRADE BACK; TRADE for Deshaun Watson
4. Atlanta Falcons; Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
Justin Fields is back in his home state of Georgia. In this scenario, Justin Fields winds up playing for the Atlanta Falcons. Much like I said in my last mock draft about Trey Lance coming to the Falcons, Justin Fields would be perfect for Arthur Smith's style of offense. (I think Trey Lance would be more perfect. But to change it up a little, I put Fields here, even though I really want Lance here.)
During his sophomore year at Ohio State, Justin Fields quarterbacked an Ohio State team who ranked fourth in the nation in rushing yards (266.8 ypg), behind three triple option teams and a Kentucky team quarterbacked by Lynn Bowden Jr., a former wide receiver turned QB.
Though they were influenced heavily by JK Dobbins, Fields put up 484 yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground. Even this season, Justin Fields averaged more yards per carry this season (4.7 ypc) and still rushed for five touchdowns.
Now, as a whole, Justin Fields wasn’t his best, per the national media. That being said, it wasn’t a bad season by any means.
In his first season at Ohio State, Fields threw for 3,273 yards with 41 touchdowns and only three interceptions. His rush numbers were also on pace to be better, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt as opposed to 3.5 the season prior.
Though this was a “bad” season for Fields, he still threw for 2,100 yards 22 touchdowns and six interceptions while completing over 70% of his passes.
This season, you could say Fields played some of his worst football, i.e. the Indiana and Northwestern games. I’ll give him a pass on the Northwestern game because he was playing with a hurt thumb on his throwing hand, which led to a dominating rush attack spearheaded by Trey Sermon.
I really like Justin Fields. He’s not afraid to take some risks and plays every game like it could be his last. I think Fields in Atlanta would be a match made in Heaven. He could sit and learn behind an Atlanta Falcons legend in Matt Ryan, has a new HC who wants to install an offense Fields would thrive in, and has weapons like Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley.
Fields is an incredibly accurate passer and has a strong arm. Also, as I said above, he's never been afraid to make plays, even putting his body at risk. If the Falcons take Justin Fields, whether he plays this year, next year, or the year after, they would have the perfect QB for their new system.
(I think it's a toss up between Fields and Lance for Atlanta, both would be perfect for this offense)
Other picks; Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State; Mac Jones, QB, Alabama; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon; Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida; Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU; DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama; Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama; Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech; TRADE UP; TRADE BACK
5. Cincinnati Bengals; Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
Much like the first pick in the Draft, this pick doesn’t take a lot of brain power. If Penei Sewell is available once Cincinnati is up at number five, the Bengals will take him. That’s five for five. So far, it’s the exact same draft as mock draft 2.0, I guess I’m sorry for being boring.
Ever since the last offseason, Sewell’s been one of the players of this year's draft given the illustrious label of “can’t miss prospect.” The other obviously being Trevor Lawerence. Though I’m not a fan of that phrase, Sewell has all the makings to be an elite franchise tackle. He may not be the finished product, but that’s what makes players like him exciting.
The Bengals offseason goal is simple, get your franchise quarterback some protection. He’s already torn his ACL once, for his sake and yours, to give the man some protection. They have Jonah Williams, now use another top pick to take another top tackle.
Other picks; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida; Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama; DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama; Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech, Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
6. Philadelphia Eagles; Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
Finally, a pick that is different from my last mock draft. Fondly enough, I did have Kyle Pitts going to Philadelphia in mock draft 2.0, but changed it right before I posted it. So, we could’ve honestly sat here looking at the same six picks. Crazy consistent over here.
The Eagles are having a changing of the guard this offseason after firing Doug Pederson and trading Carson Wentz to Indianapolis. To replace them, the Eagles brought in Colts OC Nick Sirianni and are seemingly giving the keys to the franchise to Jalen Hurts, at least for this season.
Another big move the Eagles are reported to make is trading, or just getting rid of, tight end Zach Ertz. Now, this is only reported to happen, it isn’t guaranteed. Though the Eagles have Dallas Goedert on their roster, it will be hard to pass on a weapon like Kyle Pitts.
Now, there have been reports to the Eagles drafting a quarterback with this pick. To me, the Eagles should stick it out with Jalen Hurts. One main reason I think they’ll stick with Hurts is the hiring of quarterback coach Brian Johnson.
Apparently, Jalen Hurts and Brian Johnson have known each other for years, with reports saying that they’ve known each other since Hurts was four-years old. Jalen Hurts’ dad even coached Brian Johnson at Baytown High School, so this connection runs deep.
Another important thing to note is that Brian Johnson was Florida’s offensive coordinator last season. So he knows first hand what a player like Kyle Pitts can do for an offense. These links just make too much sense, right?
Next to Jaylen Waddle, Kyle Pitts is the best pure weapon in this draft. He’s not a normal tight end. His size, speed, and athletic ability make him a match-up nightmare whether he lines up as a tight end or a wide receiver. He’s a complete player.
Tight ends are usually guarded by linebackers, but you’d be hard pressed to find a corner that could hang with him, as Pitts was the highest rated tight end when lined up against a corner by PFF.
Another big thing for Kyle Pitts is his ability in the red zone. While at Florida, Pitts never dropped a red zone pass on 31 targets. A red zone combination of Jalen Hurts and Kyle Pitts would make them damn near unstoppable in that portion of the field.
To add to that, Pitts never dropped a single pass, anywhere on the field! He’s got great hands and a great ability to make plays after the catch.
I think this is an awesome fit for the Eagles. Again, whether you want to line him up as a tight end or wide receiver, he’ll make plays for your offense. The Eagles should definitely take him here with the sixth overall pick.
Other picks; Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama; DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama; Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech; Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama; Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State; Mac Jones, QB, Alabama; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern
7. Detroit Lions; Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
The Dan Campbell era has begun in Detroit. I fear for the kneecaps of the rest of the NFC North. Packers fans, you think Anthony Barr was mean to Aaron Rodgers? Wait until Dan Campbell unleashes Micah Parsons on him and he starts gnawing at his kneecaps.
For the Lions, they have quite a bit of needs on their roster, whether it be on the offensive or defensive side of the ball. Though the Lions will likely lose either Kenny Golladay or Marvin Jones or both. In my opinion, the Lions should take the best receiver available. To me, that is Alabama’s Jaylen Waddle.
To me, even though DeVonta Smith won the Heisman, Waddle is arguably a better prospect. Before getting hurt last season, Waddle was on pace to beat Smith in most, if not all, statistical categories.
Though Smith had more receptions before Waddle’s injury in week five, Waddle had more yards, averaging more yards per reception by almost 10 yards (22.3 to 12.7), and had the same number of touchdowns. He even caught more passes per target then Smith. With Smith getting targeted 47 times with 38 catches and Waddle being targeted 29 times with 25 catches.
Along with averaging over 20 yards per reception, Waddle hauled in 21 of 26 passes when he was targeted 20 yards or more down field. Very impressive stuff there from Jaylen Waddle.
Another thing about Waddle, in his two years as a top option for Bama, their QBs had a perfect passer rating (158.3) when targeting Waddle in BOTH 2019 and 2020. Waddle’s not just a speedster, he’s an insane wide receiver.
To me, before the injury, Jaylen Waddle was more of a Heisman candidate than the eventual Heisman winner Smith. Listen to the Cole and Company podcast to hear my reasoning from a few months ago.
Jaylen Waddle is the ultimate weapon. Whether it be as a receiver, returner, or even running back, Waddle will make an impact wherever you put him. This makes him a very intriguing prospect and why I think he’ll get taken before DeVonta Smith.
Other picks; DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State; Mac Jones, QB, Alabama; TRADE BACK
8. Carolina Panthers; Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
This may be a surprise to some people, and if it does happen, expect to hear an audible gasp and a lot of people complaining on Twitter. Right, wrong, or otherwise, Mac Jones’ draft stock is on the rise, and the hype doesn’t seem to be dying down.
A very important thing to note about Mac Jones going to Carolina is the fact that Matt Rhule and their coaching staff coached Mac in the Senior Bowl. Reports are that they liked him going in and liked him even more once Senior Bowl week was done.
In his first season as the full time starter at Alabama, Jones put up some insane numbers. Leading the nation in passing yards (4,500 yards), yards per attempt (11.2), completion percentage (77.4%), passer rating (203.1), and was second in the nation in passing touchdowns (41) while only throwing four interceptions. Very impressive stuff.
Another thing to note about Mac Jones’ success at Alabama is the fact that he had nowhere near the weapons that Tua had when he was the starter at Bama. Where Tua had Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs, Jaylen Waddle, and DeVonta Smith. Mac, on the other hand, only had the last two, with Waddle missing a majority of the season due to an ankle injury. So really only DeVonta Smith.
Mac Jones and DeVonta Smith had an insane connection this past season, with DeVonta winning the Heisman and Mac winning the Davey O’Brien Award and finishing third in the Heisman Trophy voting.
Along with his impressive stats, people are loving Mac Jones’ work ethic and his competitive spirit. Waiting his time at Alabama, never transferred, and proceeded to have an amazing final season at Alabama.
Mac Jones was behind Tua and Jalen Hurts, and had a five star freshman quarterback come in in Bryce Young, who has been compared to Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson. When people doubted Mac Jones, he stayed the course and balled out.
That type of attitude has seen him get compared to Tom Brady. Where Jones may not be the most athletic quarterback or have the strongest arm, his attitude and work ethic has seen him rise up draft boards. Now, I’m not saying he is Tom Brady or will become Tom Brady, but his road to the NFL is very similar to that of the G.O.A.T.
Listen to what Mac Jones' former Bama teammates are saying about him. Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith favor him then Tua, and even Tua says he's a more mobile Tom Brady.
Mac Jones is flying up draft boards. Do I rank him higher than Trey Lance? No. That being said, reports are saying that we should expect Jones to go before the North Dakota State prospect.
After listening to what people are saying about Mac Jones, it's hard not to believe the height. Much like Joe Burrow at LSU, Joe Brady would have another motivated QB who will never give up. I really like Mac Jones in Carolina.
Other picks; Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; TRADE UP; TRADE for Deshaun Watson
9. Denver Broncos; Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
This past season, the Broncos were expected to be a dark horse playoff contender. They had a talented young quarterback, a core of young and talented wide receivers, a good running game with the addition of Melvin Gordon, and an underrated defense. Sadly, inconsistent play and injuries happened, which saw the Broncos fail to reach those goals.
Hey, I was one of the people that bought into the Broncos semi-hype last season. I had them going 9-7, just missing the playoffs. They did miss the playoffs, but instead of 9-7, they went 5-11, and looked very bad in some of those losses.
Since Vic Fangio has been the head coach of the Broncos, Denver has prioritized the offense in the past two drafts.
Last year’s draft saw the Broncos address, mostly, the offensive side of the ball. The Broncos drafted two wide receivers in the first two rounds in Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. They drafted Lloyd Cushernberry in the third round and Drew Lock’s college tight end in Albert Okwuegbunam.
The 2019 draft saw Denver draft tight end Noah Fant, current starting quarterback Drew Lock, and guard/tackle hybrid Dalton Risner. As of right now, those occupy six starting positions on offense, all drafted within the first two days of the draft. I say Fangio is ready to target the defense.
Though Denver did draft cornerback Michael Ojemudia last year, the Broncos still need some help at the cornerback position, especially since AJ Bouye will be leaving this offseason.
Deciding which corner goes to Denver is hard though. To me, both Caleb Farley and Patrick Surtain II are pretty much equal. Both have the size scouts are looking for in corners (6’2” 200+ lbs.) and have the athleticism to make plays in the secondary. That being said, I’m going to throw Farley here.
The big thing that could hurt this prediction is the fact that Farley opted out last season due to COVID-19, whereas Surtain II stayed and won a National Championship while being named a Unanimous All-American and the SEC Defensive Player of the Year.
The thing that could make Farley appealing is the fact that he’s only ever really been a corner for two years. After playing quarterback in high school and then receiver when he first got to Virginia Tech, he knows the offensive side of the ball well, which helps him though he’s inexperienced.
His rawness is also appealing cause you know he’s not the finished product, which could be scary and makes his ceiling pretty high.
He has the speed, athleticism and ball skills to be a great addition to the Broncos. When you’re in a division with Keenan Allen, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Henry Ruggs, Nelson Agholar, Patrick Mahomes, Derek Carr, and Justin Herbert, it can’t hurt you to have an abundance of corners.
Other picks; Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama; Micah Parsons, LB/EDGE, Penn State; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Alijah Vera-Tucker, iOL, USC; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina; TRADE BACK; TRADE UP
10. Dallas Cowboys; Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
The Dallas Cowboys, on paper, have a very talented roster. The only thing that’s really hurting them is the inconsistencies on the defensive side of the ball.
The offense of the Dallas Cowboys can be near the top of the league as far as talent is concerned, and if Dak stays healthy, they can be even more than just talented. Remember, there’s a difference between being talented and being good.
As far as the defensive side of the ball goes, oof. That’s honestly the best way I can put it. I think the Cowboys have to address a position on the defensive side of the ball with this pick, unless they want to strengthen their o-line or something.
Out of all the needs on their defense, cornerback is arguably the biggest of them all. This past season, the Cowboys ranked in the bottom 10 in total yards allowed and ranked in the bottom five in passing touchdowns allowed last season.
Yes, the Cowboys got a very good young corner in the second round last year in Trevon Diggs, but they could very well lose their two other starting corners, Jourdan Lewis and Chidobe Awuzie, in free agency. So, I feel the Cowboys should take Diggs’ former Alabama teammate, Patrick Surtain II.
Now, whether it’s Surtain or Farley here, I think the Cowboys should take them. If we’re basing this solely on last season, we could expect Farley to be here, especially since Surtain was the best corner in college football last season (awards mentioned before).
Not only is Surtain a top corner in this draft, and will help the Cowboys in pass coverage, he can also help out in run support, which the Cowboys really need as well, ranking second to last in rush yards given up (average).
The Cowboys just hired former Falcons HC Dan Quinn to be their new DC, Surtain could be that corner that would help lock down defenders for the Cowboys. Hey, maybe he could be another long, athletic corner Quinn had in Seattle.
Other picks; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Micah Parsons, LB/EDGE; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
11. New York Giants; DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
The New York Giants could be considered one of those surprise teams from last season. Now, that may sound crazy coming from a team that just finished 6-10, but they almost won the friggin division last season, which I guess could be more of a testament to how bad the division was as opposed to how good the Giants were.
Regardless, the Giants played tough last season, losing five games by one score. The Giants could go a couple directions with this pick, having needs on both sides of the ball.
Earlier this offseason Giants GM Dave Gettleman “vowed” to get starting quarterback Daniel Jones some more weapons for this upcoming season. Out of all the receivers available, DeVonta Smith is the next best one and shouldn't fall farther than 11 in this draft.
DeVonta Smith is arguably the most consistent receiver in this class. Being the only one out of the possible first rounders with two thousand yard seasons. Now, I think Ja’Marr Chase would’ve gotten another thousand yard season if he had not opted out and Jaylen Waddle being out helped him get as many yards as he did, but I don’t want to take anything away from Smith’s 2020 season.
Dude was unguardable last season. His ability to get open and what he would do with the ball after he caught it was something to behold. He made Mac Jones’ job a lot easier and had the greatest season a receiver has ever had in college football. Getting 1,856 receiving yards and 23 touchdowns. Absolutely crazy season.
Though he was amazing last season, and had a great overall career, there are some things that could hurt Smith. One thing being his size. Though he’s 6’1”, he weighs less than both Ja’Marr Chase and Jaylen Waddle, weighing in at 175 lbs. Though that didn’t hurt him while at Bama or hurt his play, it could definitely hurt his stock a tiny bit.
Another thing that could hurt him, comparatively to Jaylen Waddle, he doesn't’ have that elite breakaway speed or versatility that Waddle has. I know these are nit picky things, but they could hurt him in the draft.
Whether or not he’s the first wide receiver or the third one taken, DeVonta Smith will make whoever drafts him very happy. He’s a competitor and an insane wide receiver. If he’s available, the Giants should race to the podium to get their pick in. With this pick, the Giants would be giving Danny Dimes a number one receiver.
Other picks; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Alijah Vera-Tucker, iOL/OT, USC; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
12. San Francisco 49ers; Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
The 49ers are one of the most interesting teams when it comes to the 2021 NFL Draft. Last season, they finsihed 6-10 and battled a ton of injuries on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball. If they can stay healthy, this team can compete.
Arguably, their biggest position of need is at the corner back position, with both Jason Verrett and Richard Sherman being unrestricted free agents. Though they could target that here, I think they're more likely to look at one of the top quarterbacks in this draft.
The Niners record with Jimmy Garoppolo vs when they don't have him is very interesting, based a lot on the fact that he's such an average quarterback. With him, San Francisco is 22-8, while also getting to a Super Bowl. With anyone else as the starter, mainly Nick Mullens, the Niners are 7-27.
Though they are a lot better with him, his injury record cannot be ignored. Since becoming the 49ers starting quarterback, Garoppolo has missed 23 games through injury. You don’t need to be the smartest person in the world to know that’s not great.
To me, Kyle Shanahan and co. could be growing tired of Jimmy G's injury woes and could look to add a top QB in this draft, even though I think Jimmy Garoppolo will still be the starter next season. To me, it's hard to imagine this happening, but with no trades, if definitely could. I think Trey Lance in San Francisco would be awesome to see.
The big “issue” (I guess) with Trey Lance is the fact that he played for North Dakota State, an FCS school. Most casual fans out there have never watched, or maybe even heard of, North Dakota State. That causes people to question him as a prospect, but again, he’s got everything.
In his one full season as the starter, Lance threw for 2,786 yards and 28 touchdowns while completing 66.9% of his passes. The stat that is the craziest though is the fact that he threw no interceptions. I don’t care what level you play, that is a very impressive feat that almost every quarterback couldn’t accomplish. Again, that’s an amazing stat.
Along with the threat through the air, Lance put up 1,100 rushing yards with 14 touchdowns. Giving him a total of 3,886 yards and 42 touchdowns, which saw him be given the Walter Payton Award, FCS’ Heisman, and the Jerry Rice Award, for the nation's top freshman. Oh yeah, him and NDSU won another National Championship.
People are saying that his lack of experience could cause him to fall a little. I think Lance's potetial is extremely high and though I don't think Trey Lance should be available here, I do think it'd be an awesome fit. Lance is a very mobile quarterback, with a big arm, and is a great decision maker. With the 49ers running game with their weapons outside, Lance would thrive.
Other picks; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Alijah Vera-Tucker, iOL, USC; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; TRADE UP
13. Los Angeles Chargers; Rashawn Slater, iOL/OT, Northwestern
The Chargers future is pretty exciting. They’ve got their franchise quarterback in Justin Herbert, good weapons out wide and in the back field, a young and talented defensive minded head coach to help right the defense, and an extremely talented defense all together if they stay healthy.
One part of the Chargers that has not ever really been that exciting has been the offensive line. To put it lightly, their o-line sucks.
Again, they’ve got their starting quarterback, one of the goals this offseason should be to either surround him with even more weapons or get some o-line help. Here, I’ve got the Bolts going with the latter.
Last offseason, the Chargers traded for Trai Turner and signed Bryan Bulaga in free agency, so their right side of the o-line is essentially set. The problem lies from the center to the left tackle spot, especially with the recent retirement of center Mike Pouncey.
As I said, center, left guard, and left tackle could do with an upgrade. One player in this draft that can play all those positions is Northwestern lineman Rashawn Slater.
In his time at Northwestern, Slater played both right and left tackle, but has the skillset to play every position on the offensive line. As a freshman at Northwestern, Slater was named the best freshman offensive lineman by PFF. Then as a junior, Slater gave up 0 sacks in 11 starts at left tackle.
Similar to Cowboys guard Zach Martin, Slater could go from an elite left tackle in college to an elite All-Pro guard in the NFL. If I’m the Chargers, and Slater’s available, I’m sprinting to the podum to get this pick in.
Slater’s versatility and his ability as a run and pass blocker should make him one of the most sought after prospects in this draft. Honestly, I’d be surprised if he made it here to 13.
Other picks; Alijah Vera-Tucker, iOL/OT, USC; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
14. Minnesota Vikings; Alijah Vera-Tucker, iOL, USC
Yes, I finally did it. I finally have the Vikings taking an offensive lineman, which should excite every Vikings fan out there. Though I think the Vikings could address the defensive line, especially the edge rusher position, their biggest need has to be on the offensive line.
During the last draft, the Vikings drafted a nice developmental offensive lineman in Ezra Cleveland from Boise State. Though he was drafted as a tackle, he slotted in at guard and played fairly well there, so maybe his future is at the guard position. So, with that being said, I think the Vikings could go after an offensive lineman. To me, that is USC’s Alijah Vera-Tucker.
One thing that makes Vera-Tucker a very intriguing prospect is his versatility, with his ability to play both guard and tackle. Arguably, the Vikings biggest need is on the interior offensive line, so we should expect Vera-Tucker to slot into one of the starting guard positions.
In their final offensive line rankings, PFF ranked the Vikings unit as the 26th best in the NFL. Stating how bad their interior o-line was.
With Ezra Cleveland ranking 37th out of 40 in pressure rate for right guards, Garrett Bradbury ranking 34th out of 36 for centers, and Dakota Dozier ranking 36th out of 39 for left guards. Long story short, their interior o-line needs help.
I’ll defend Ezra Cleveland though. He was labeled as an extremely raw prospect and came in after starting three years at left tackle at Boise State. I think he’ll be fine with another year of development.
Vera-Tucker would instantly improve the Vikings interior offensive line. He is a great run and pass blocker who is very athletic and, again, possesses a lot of versatility. In 2019, Vera-Tucker, according to PFF, recorded a 88.6 pass blocking rate with no sacks or QB hits.
I think this fits perfectly for both the Vikings and Vera-Tucker. The Vikings are a very good run team with a good passing game, Vera-Tucker would help improve them in run blocking and, of course, pass blocking.
If the Vikings want to get back to the Playoffs and challenge for the NFC North, they should start by improving an offensive line that has ranked near the bottom of the NFL for what seems like forever.
Other picks; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; Chrsitan Barmore, DT, Alabama
15. New England Patriots; Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
The New England Patriots were a little bit of a mess last season. Whether that be on the offensive side or the defensive side of the ball, they just didn’t look themselves. As the rest of the NFL celebrated that fact, I don’t expect the Patriots to be that bad over the next few seasons. Though I wouldn’t complain if they were.
Now, I don’t like making excuses for the Patriots, but they were arguably hit the hardest by opt outs and injuries this season. With numerous key players missing time this season on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball.
Among the opt outs were Brandon Bolden, Marcus Cannon, Patrick Chung, Dont’a Hightower, Marquise Lee, and Danny Vitale. Among the players on IR were Rex Burkhead, Julian Edleman, Stephon Gilmore, Damien Harris, and Isaiah Wynn. Though these players are expected to come back, the Pats could do with some upgrading.
Their two biggest positions of need are quarterback and wide receiver, but since I’m not doing trades, I don’t know if one of the top QBs will fall to them and I think it may be a tiny reach to take one of the wide receivers here at 15. So, I have the Patriots adopting the “best available” montra, and to me that is Micah Parsons.
Micah Parsons, to me, just seems like a New England Patriot type of player. He is a “do everything linebacker,” essentially meaning he will excel wherever you put him on the defense. In his time at Penn State, Parsons recorded 192 tackles, 6.5 sacks, 19 tackles for loss, six forced fumbles, one fumble recovery, and five passes defended.
In the season before he opted out, Parsons recorded 109 total tackles, five sacks, and four forced fumbles. Even though he opted out, his ability just cannot be ignored.
Though he’s got some reported character concerns, with some comparing him to Reuben Foster, the Patriots can’t ignore his talent. Parsons could have the ability to replace Jamie Collins and be a very good linebacking partner to Dont’a Hightower.
The Patriots usually have one of the top linebacking groups in the NFL. With the selection of Parsons, the Patriots could get back to that. Parsons to the Patriots just makes too much sense for me.
Other picks; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; TRADE UP; TRADE DOWN
16. Arizona Cardinals; Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
The Arizona Cardinals will probably be expecting to be a Playoff team next season. Though they finished 8-8 last season, the Cardinals have a lot to be excited for next season, most notably on the offensive side of the ball.
The Cardinals will be going into year three with Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury, so the offense is expected to be very good next season, even though we don’t really know what the future holds for Larry Legend.
Throughout Kingsbury’s time at Texas Tech, their offense was very strong, but their defense was always bad to terrible. In 2015, when Texas Tech’s offense ranked second in scoring, their defense was ranked 125th. Every year at Texas Tech, Kingsbury’s defense ranked 87th or worse. That’s very bad.
Last season, the Cardinals were around the middle of the league in total defense, which is good for the Cardinals and Kingsbury’s standards.
The Cardinals have shown that they’d like to improve their defense though. Going out and signing JJ Watt to a nice little contract, which surprised everyone who follows the NFL.
This year, the Cardinals are poised to lose one of their greatest ever players in cornerback Patrick Peterson and they can’t afford to go an offseason without replacing him. That’s a must for Arizona.
The best corner available for the Cardinals, where they’re picking, is South Carolina’s Jaycee Horn. Much like the other corners taken, Horn has the size NFL teams are looking for, standing at 6’1” and weighing 200 lbs. He has the size and athletic ability to guard any wide receiver.
Throughout his time at South Carolina, Horn totaled 101 tackles, seven tackles for loss, three sacks, two interceptions, and 23 passes defended.
Horn is a very versatile and athletic corner who, again, can cover anybody with his aforementioned size and ball playing abilities. I think Horn would be a perfect pick for Arizona and could easily replace Peterson at corner for the Cardinals.
Other picks; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota
17. Las Vegas Raiders; Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan
The Las Vegas Raiders could go a couple directions with this pick. I would assume though that the Raiders address the defensive side of the ball as opposed to the offensive side of things.
Out of all the needs on the defensive side of the ball, the Raiders have to address either the edge rusher or the linebacker position. Since they haven’t gotten a lot of pressure out of Clelin Ferrell since drafting him in 2019, I’ll have them taking Michigan edge rusher Kwity Paye.
Remember the now infamous quote from Jon Gruden after trading Khalil Mack to the Chicago Bears? He said elite pass rushers don’t grow on trees. After seeing what the Raiders have been without him, he is exactly right.
Since trading Mack away, the Raiders have ranked 29th, 25th, and 32nd in total sacks and 29th, 24th, and 32nd in total defense. The absence of Khalil Mack has been felt by the entire defense, and I think it’s time they address it here.
Though I rank Kwity Paye as the second best edge rusher in this draft, I think the fact that he may be the quickest edge rusher in the draft along with his great burst, athleticism, and bend could/should see him going first out of the edge rushers.
The one downside to him as opposed to the other edge rushers is his production this past season. Totalling just two sacks this past season (four games) and having a career high of six and a half the season prior. I just think the athletic tools he possesses could see him taken here by Las Vegas.
I think this would be a very nice pickup for the Raiders. Instantly giving them a player that’ll get after the quarterback. We should expect the Raiders sack numbers to go up next season with the selection of Kwity Paye.
Other picks; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia; Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU; Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama; Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa; TRADE BACK
18. Miami Dolphins; Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
The Dolphins were the main surprise team out of the 2020 NFL season. Finishing with 10 wins and just missing out on the Playoffs. It seems HC Brian Flores has established a culture there and we should expect the Dolphins to be competitive for years to come.
Now, the big question surrounding the Dolphins offseason is quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Personally, I think the Dolphins will end up sticking with Tua and surrounding him with players to up his numbers from the season before.
With their first pick, the Dolphins took the best receiver in the draft in Ja’Marr Chase. Though another offensive weapon could be taken here, I think Brian Flores may want to address the defensive side of the ball.
In his time in New England, Brian Flores was their defensive coordinator/linebacker coach. While at Boston College, before getting injured, Flores played linebacker. If I were a betting man, I’d bet that if Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah is available here, Flores would love to take him.
A smaller linebacker, 6’1” 216 lbs., Owusu-Koramoah can make every play on the field. For the Dolphins, adding Koramoah would be adding a lot of athleticism to their linebacking corp.
For what he lacks in prototypical linebacker size, standing at 6’1” and weighing 216 lbs., he makes up for it in extreme/elite athleticism. He’s essentially a safety playing linebacker, which makes him a match-up nightmare.
This past season, Koramoah was given the Butkus Award for the nation's best linebacker and was named a Unanimous All-American and the ACC Defender of the Year, which means he was obviously named First Team All-ACC.
Though his production went down from the season prior, he’s still an enticing prospect because of his aforementioned athleticism. Dude can cover in the pass game, make hits in the run game, and just overall make plays all over the field.
I think Owusu-Koramoah is a prospect Flores would love to have. His ability to make plays all over the field combined with his freakish athleticism would make him a perfect fit in Flores’ defense.
Other picks; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State; Landon Dickerson, iOL, Alabama
19. Washington Football Team; Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida
The Washington Football Team made the playoffs last season. Let me say that again. After going 7-9, the Washington Football Team made the playoffs. Not only did they make it, they hosted a game, and almost won!
I think it’s obvious though, when looking at their playoff run, they made it off the back of their soon to be elite defense, being led by a young defensive line. Basically, they made it to spite their offense, which wasn’t great to say the least.
Yes, they were a better team with Alex Smith at QB as opposed to either Dwayne Haskins or Kyle Allen. Will Alex Smith be back next season? Who knows. At least they’ve got playoff hero Taylor Heinicke signed to a two-year contract.
Though their QB situation is still up in the air, I don’t think they’ll address it here in the first round. I think they’ll either draft someone laster or sign/trade for a quarterback, my prediction is Marcus Mariota or Sam Darnold.
So, with their first round pick, I’ll give Washington Virginia Tech a wide receiver to partner with Terry McLaurin in the form of Florida wide out Kadarius Toney.
The Washington Football Team have a number one receiver in Terry McLaurin and an athletic tight end in Logan Thomas, but that’s it regarding their weapons on offense. I think it’d be wise for Washington to add another weapon to their roster.
Much like Mac Jones before, Kadarius Toney’s draft stock was helped by a strong week at the Senior Bowl, being named the top receiver of the American Team by the opposing team’s secondary. It’s one thing to be a good wide receiver, it’s another to be voted the best wide receiver by the secondary group. That’s big.
Though he’s a very talented receiver, he’s also very versatile. At Florida, Toney totalled 120 receptions for 1,590 yards and 12 touchdowns catches, 66 rushing attempts for 580 yards and scores on the ground, and an average of 21.6 yards per kick return and 11.3 yards per punt return, scoring on a punt return touchdown. He also threw a few balls, going 3-6 with 82 yards and a passing touchdown.
Along with those numbers, Toney didn’t drop a single pass 10+ yards downfield on 31 targets. Also, since 2019, Toney has had a total of 111 touches with 60 first downs and 44 missed tackles. Some of the play Toney makes, he makes out of nothing. His burst is ridiculous and his ability to make plays anywhere is draw dropping.
Toney’s stock was raised by a great Senior Bowl week, with some people saying he could go in the top 16, so I won’t be surprised if he;s the first receiver taken after the “big three.” Washington would be doing well by taking Toney here at 19.
(50-50 on Toney or Darrisaw here for the Washington Football Team)
Other picks; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State; Landon Dickerson, iOL, Alabama
20. Chicago Bears; Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
A new era is supposed to start in Chicago this upcoming season. Former starting quarterback Mitchell Trubisky seems destined not to return to the Windy City. It’s obvious the Bears have to come away with a quarterback this offseason, but I don’t know if it’ll be in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft.
Other key positions of need for the Bears are at wide receiver and on the offensive line. With how bad the Bears offensive line has been over the past couple years, it'll be hard for them to pass on one of the top tackle propects. If Christian Darrisaw drops this far, expect the Bears to be all over this pick.
In his last season at Virginia Tech, Darrisaw was named a first team All-ACC selection and was a two and a half year starter while playing for the Hokies.
Darrisaw is 6’5” and weighs 314 lbs. and is a fantastic pass protector, which is something the Washington Football Team needs. During his last at Virginia Tech, Darrisaw allowed just six quarterback hurries and no sacks. Also, Darrisaw's PFF grade when trailing was the highest out of the o-tackles in this draft. On 140 passing plays, Darrisaw gave up zero sacks.
The battle for the title "best tackle in the draft" is a lot closer than what a lot of people think. Between Sewell (Bengals), Slater (Charergs), and Darrisaw (Bears), the lines a very thin. You'll see a lot of different ranking between the three.
Again, if Darrisaw slips all the way down to 20, the Bears have to take him. He's a very athletic tackle who is a really good pass blocker. Whoever the Bears get at quarterback would be very happy to have Darrisaw protecting his blindside.
Other picks; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; TRADE UP
21. Indianapolis Colts; Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami
The Indianapolis Colts are one of the most interesting teams coming into the 2021 NFL Draft. They are a very talented team but do have some holes on their roster. Most notably at wide receiver, left tackle, and edge rusher.
This offseason, the Colts are likely to lose aging veteran Justin Houston and Denico Autry in free agency (more likely to lose Houton due to his age (32)). They are also in a division that has very mobile quarterbacks in Ryan Tannehill, Trevor Lawrence (we expect), and Deshaun Watson (for now). I think it’d be smart to take one of the top edge rushers in this draft.
To me, Gregory Rousseau is the best edge rusher in this draft. In the season before he opted out, Rousseau totaled 15.5 sacks, which ranked second behind Chase Young. He’s also got this thing you can’t teach, size and length, which are two desirable features for edge rushers. He’s also very raw, only getting significant playing time two seasons ago.
For the Colts, it should be all about who is available with this pick. If a player like Gregory Rousseau has slipped to 21, the Colts should definitely take him. Putting him on a d-line that already includes DeForest Buckner would strike fear into opposing offenses.
The Colts get younger and longer with this pick. Rousseau would help coral the mobile quarterbacks they have in their division. I love this fit for Rousseau and the Colts.
Other picks; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami; Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia; Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU
22. Tennessee Titans; Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami
The Titans defense was bad last year. Like, really bad. I don’t really know what happened. A few years ago they were near the top of the league in total defense, this past season they ranked fifth from the bottom.
You would think with Mike Vrabel as the head coach that defense would be the main cog in this Tennessee Titans team but it’s not. This team obviously lives and dies by the rushing attack. As long as Derrick Henry is there and healthy, the rushing attack will always be alive and the Titans will always have a chance to win games.
This last season the Titans ranked fourth to last in passing defense and a lot of that can go down to poor cornerback play but also falls on their inabilities to really disrupt the passer. Last season the Titans finished with 19 sacks, which was the third worst in the league and only two off from being the worst in the league.
Safe to say the Jadeveon Clowney thing did not work out, good thing they signed him to a one-year deal. In the eight games he played with Tennessee he recorded zero sacks. Over his last 21 games he has recorded a grand total of three. I don’t know what happened there. To solve this issue I think the Titans should go after the other Miami edge rusher, Jaelan Phillips.
Phillips comes in that similar mold of his Miami teammate Gregory Rousseau. Phillips has really good length and speed to cause a lot of disruption in the passing game.
Standing at 6’5” and weighing 265 lbs., he is a massive threat rushing the passer. With Rousseau opting out this past season, Phillips accounted for eight sacks, 45 total tackles, and an interception.
Now, there could be some concerns due to his injury history. Before transferring to Miami, Phillips medically retired from football. His injuries included an ankle injury, a wrist injury in an off-the-field accident, and a concussion.
Though there are concerns, Phillips has the potential to be a real threat rushing the passer. His ability to play standing up or with his hand in the dirt. Combined with his size, speed, and length will make him hard to pass up for the Titans and their struggling defense.
Other picks; Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State; Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas; Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State
23. New York Jets (via Seahawks); Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia
The New York Jets have a fair bit of issues and needs on their roster, whether that be on the offensive or defensive side of the ball. Though the Jets could further strengthen their offense with this pick, I think new head coach Robert Saleh would like to get a stud for the defensive side of the ball.
If you look at where Robert Saleh came from, the 49ers, they built a strong defense by adding to their defensive line and pass rush. I think that the Jets follow the same mold and select Georgia edge rusher Azeez Ojulari with this pick.
Now, I'm not sure what defense Saleh will deploy now that he's the Jets head coach. In San Francisco they ran a basic 4-3 defense where in New Jersey, the Jets have run a 3-4 defense. That being said, no matter what defense the Jets run, Ojulari should fit it.
Ojulari has been one of those players who has been rising up draft boards like crazy. Before the season started he was around a third fourth round pick. Now, he’s almost a lock to go in the first round.
Out of the other big names mentioned out of the edge rushers, Ojulari had the best 2020 season. Though kind of by default since Rousseau didn’t play and Paye played four games. Still, he had a great year, finishing with 8.5 sacks on the season, which ranked in the top 10 in the nation and was top in the SEC.
Ojulari would be perfect in the 3-4 defense coming in as the standup outside linebacker, which is what the Jets need. That being said, Ojulari would have zero problems putting his hand in the dirt as a traditional 4-3 defensive end, as he did that a lot at Georgia.
Last season, the Jets recorded 31 sacks, which was towards the bottom of the league, with Quinnen Williams leading them with seven sacks. The next closest was Tarell Basham with 3.5, and he's going to be an unrestricted free agent.
Again, no matter what defense the Jets run Ojulari should be able to fit it. Dudes got insane athleticism, burst, and bend which would make him a perfect addition to Saleh's defense.
Other picks; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State; Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas; Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern; Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
24. Pittsburgh Steelers; Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan
The Steelers are going to have an interesting offseason. As of right now, they have three offensive lineman on the roster, and they don’t necessarily have the cap space to get any of their big names back.
Longtime center Maurkice Pouncey announced his retirement, along with his brother Mike, longtime starting left tackle Alejandro Villanueva is hitting free agency and looks unlikely to come back, and starting left guard from last season Matt Feiler is also a free agent. This is a problem for the Steelers.
Another big issue for the Steelers is the fact Ben Roethlisberger is 39 years old and they don’t have a succession plan in place at this point in time. So, it looks like Ben will start for the Steelers next season, so they better address the offensive line in some capacity.
With this pick, I think it’d be the wisest to replace the most important position on the offensive line, the left tackle spot. Again, Villanueva doesn’t seem to be coming back. So I have the Steelers taking Michigan tackle Jalen Mayfield.
Though the Steelers biggest need on the o-line is the tackle position, Mayfield does have the ability to play both guard and tackle. That appears to be a common theme in this draft, versatility among the offensive lineman. Mayfield’s the next one out of the lot.
One thing that could possibly go against Mayfield here is that he only started 15 games while at Michigan. That being said, he got a lot of experience in those 15 starts, going up against some elite edge rushers in his time there.
Mayfield went up against the likes of Chase Young and Yetur Gross-Matos, two early draft picks in last year's draft. He also went against Anfernee Jennings, Jayson Oweh, Shaka Toney, Terrell Lewis, Khalid Kareem, Julian Okwara, among others in his first season starting at right tackle.
Though he played mostly right tackle in college, Mayfield could see a similar transition to the left side much like Cleveland Browns rookie Jedrick Wills, who was a right tackle while playing for Alabama.
Though Mayfield may be a little inexperienced, comparatively, but he’s also going to only be 20-years old by the time he’s drafted. The youthfulness and the ceiling for Mayfield is what will draw teams towards him. Similarly to Austin Jackson in last year's draft.
I think the Steelers will draft an offensive tackle with this pick. If he’s available, I think Mayfield’s athleticism and upside would be hard to pass up if you’re the Steelers.
(Najee Harris was very close to ending up here for me)
Other picks; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State; Landon Dickerson, iOL, Alabama; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State; Creed Humphrey, iOL, Oklahoma; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
25. Jacksonville Jaguars (via Rams); Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
The Jaguars already won the first round by securing Trevor Lawrence. I think with Lawrence and Urban Meyer at the helm the offense will sort itself out. Defensively, there’s still some question marks.
Over the last three drafts, the Jaguars have solely addressed the defensive side of the ball with their first round picks. Last year it was CJ Henderson and K’Lavon Chaisson, the year before that it was Josh Allen (not that Josh Allen), and the year before that it was Taven Bryan. Since 2015, the Jaguars have drafted an offensive player in the first round once. I’ll let you guess who that was.
All that being said, I think the trend continues.The big issue for the Jaguars on defense is their ability, or lack of ability, to stop the run. This past season, Jacksonville 153.3 rush yards per game, which ranked third to last in the NFL last season, while also allowing 23 rushing touchdowns, which ranked fourth to last. So, to help solve their inability to stop the run, I’ll have them taking Alabama’s Christian Barmore.
Depending on who’s mock drafts you look at, you could see Barmore going as high as 14 to Minnesota or see him not even go in the first round at all. There are a lot of teams that could use d-tackles, but teams may pass on them in the first round.
This past season, Alabama gave up 113.1 rushing yards a game, which may seem like a lot but out of all the teams above them, only one played as many as them. Essentially meaning it’s easier for them to keep their rushing numbers down.
If we were to look at yards per attempt, Alabama only gave up 3.3 yards per carry, which ranked 13th nationally. Pretty solid stuff right there. Barmore was a big reason for that.
Along with helping solve Jacksonville’s rushing problems, he’d help in getting after the quarterback as well. Last season Jacksonville ranked second to last with only 18 sacks last season. Barmore himself, as a d-tackle, totalled eight with three forced fumbles.
In the National Championship against Ohio State Barmore showed out. Totalling five tackles, a sack, and two tackles for a loss while also being named the Defensive Player of the Game.
I think with Barmore’s size and ability to help stop the run and get after the passer would make him very hard to pass up on if he’s available here at 25. Jacksonville needs some more help on defense, I think Barmore could help solve those problems.
Other picks; Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU; Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa; Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington; Alex Leatherwood, iOL/OT, Alabama; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas; Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State; Carlos Basham, DL/EDGE, Wake Forest; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
26. Cleveland Browns; Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
Last offseason, the Browns lost two starting linebackers, in the former of Christian Kirksey and Joe Schobert to free agency. Since the pair left, there have been some holes in their linebacking corp as the Browns never really replaced them.
Coming into the season, after losing the aforementioned pair, Pro Football Focus ranked the Browns linebacking corp 31st out of 32 teams. I feel it’d be wise to upgrade that position. I think, with this pick, the Browns address that need by drafting Tulsa linebacker Zaven Collins.
Collins is an absolute unit at the linebacker position, standing at 6’4” and weighing in at 260 lbs.! Dudes a tight end playing the linebacker position.
With some comparing him to current Dallas Cowboys linebacker Leighton Vander Esch, minus the neck injuries, making him very hard to pass on for a linebacker needy team like the Cleveland Browns.
In his last season at Tulsa, Collis totaled 54 total tackles, 7.5 tackles for loss, 4.0 sacks, 4 interceptions, 2 passes defended, 2 forced fumbles, 1 fumble recovery, and 2 touchdowns.
He is a do everything linebacker that could definitely help the Browns defense. Whether that be against the run or rushing the passer, I really like Collins in Cleveland.
Other picks; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Carlos Basham, DL/EDGE, Wake Forest; Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern; Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia; Aaron Robinson, CB, UCF; Asante Samuel Jr., CB, Florida State; Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia; Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU; Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri; Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
27. Baltimore Ravens; Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota
We’re back on the Rashod Bateman to Baltimore train after taking a mock draft off. Though the Ravens have a need at edge rusher with possibly both Matthew Judon and Yannick Ngakoue leaving in free agency, I think their biggest need is at the wide receiver position.
Ever since Lamar Jackson has been the starter in Baltimore, their receiving corp has been below average to say the least. Even though they drafted one in the first round in 2019, it still needs some improvement.
The aforementioned Marquise Brown was the first wide receiver taken in the 2019 NFL Draft, both AJ Brown and DK Metcalf, and he’s flattered to deceive in his time in Baltimore. Though he has elite speed, he has struggled finding consistency with his hands and has often been injured since coming to Baltimore.
I think it’d be smart for the Ravens to draft a true number one wide receiver in this draft, and Rashod Bateman certainly can fill that hole for the Ravens.
Like many players this season, Bateman’s production was down from the season prior, as Minnesota struggled throwing the ball and found a lot of consistency and value from running the ball.
Running back Mohammad Ibrahim ran the ball 201 times for 1,076 yards, whereas Minnesota only threw 184 passes last year, with Bateman only catching the ball 36 times for 472 yards and two touchdowns. That’s down from 60 catches, 1,219 yards, and 11 touchdowns.
I don’t think anyone will hold that against Bateman, especially with the aforementioned rushing attack Minnesota had and the lack of games they played last season, seven. I would also say the improved run game and lack of passing game could go down to Tanner Morgan’s regression from 2019 to 2020.
Bateman’s ability to play in the slot and outside as well as his route running ability will still make him a top wide receiver target in this draft. He also ran a reported (by himself) 4.37 and 4.39 40, which should get some teams back on his train. Even if he does slip, I don’t know if he’ll slide past Baltimore.
Other picks; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Landon Dickerson, iOL, Alabama; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State
28. New Orleans Saints; Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU
The Saints could go a few directions with this pick. They could go after a quarterback, wide receiver, or something on defense. There’s a lot of questions regarding the Saints and what they are going to do this offseason.
The biggest question around this team is whether or not Drew Brees is coming back. Though we can all assume he’s retiring, there has been no official announcement just yet, so we could have some fun with this pick by giving them a quarterback. Saldy, I’m not though.
Honestly I think the Saints will bring back Jameis Winston and have him compete with Taysom Hill for the starting spot. I think the position the Saints will address is at the safety spot.
This upcoming offseason, the Saints could lose starting free safety Marcus Williams in free agency. The Saints, who are projected to be $100 million over the upcoming salary cap, will probably not be able to afford to bring Williams back, so the Saints address that hole with this pick.
Moehrig is undoubtedly the best safety prospect in this draft. He’s a very versatile player who can make plays all over the field, meaning he’ll slot in easily to that open free safety spot in the Saints secondary.
It will be fun to see what Saints DC Dennis Allen will do with him. I think he’d be perfect for New Orleans and help keep their defense near the top of the league.
Other picks; Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; Tutu Atwell, WR, Louisville; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Carlos Basham, DL/EDGE, Wake Forest
29. Green Bay Packers; Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern
The Green Bay Packers have a couple of needs on their roster. I know the obvious need for Packers fans is wide receiver, mostly because of the fact that they passed on them last season. That being said, I feel the Packers could address that need in the later rounds.
Throughout the recent history of the Packers, they have never targeted wide receivers in the first round, with their top guys being either day two or later round picks. (Look at mock draft 1.0 to read the list of where Packers usually take wide receivers)
Though I had them taking Rondale Moore from Purdue in my last mock draft, I’m starting to get back off the Packers “drafting a wide receiver train.”
Instead, I think with this pick, the Packers address something on the defensive side of the ball. With Kevin King unlikely to return next season, as he's an impending unrestricted free agent, I'm going to give the Packers Northwestern corner Greg Newsome II.
Newsome has been one of the prospects whose stock has been on the rise recently. Much like the top three corners in this draft, Newsome has very nice size for a corner in today’s NFL, standing 6’1” and weighing 190 lbs.
Like I said above, his stock is rising. He doesn’t get all the recognition the top three corners receive, but he’s still a very good corner. On 387 snaps this past season, he only let up 98 yards on 34 targets and only 12 of them were catches.
He’s a very fast and athletic corner who's got great size for the position. After everything I’ve read, Newsome looks to be the next corner taken after Jaycee Horn. The Packers need cornerback help, Newsome should be a very nice partner for an elite corner in Jaire Alexander.
Other picks; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State; Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State; Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas; Landon Dickerson, iOL, Alabama; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State
30. Buffalo Bills; Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
The Buffalo Bills finished 13-3 last season. An amazing season led by an elite offense and an MVP candidate in Josh Allen. Though the Bills finished 13-3 and made it to the AFC Championship game, they have some decent sized holes on the roster.
Other than quarterback, wide receiver, and safety, the Bills have needs all over their roster. The biggest needs, arguably, are where they could lose some big time players in free agency.
Players like linebacker Matt Milano and offensive lineman Jon Feliciano and Daryl Williams could leave in free agency. Though they COULD leave, I find it hard to believe the Bills would let all of them walk.
I think Matt Milano is one of Sean McDermott’s favorite players on defense. A very skilled linebacker who comes up big in the passing game, I just don’t think they would let Milano walk without a fight.
As far as the lineman are concerned, I feel Jon Feliciano is almost guaranteed to come back. Though he’s not the great guard of all time, his leadership and relationship with Josh Allen could be key in him coming back to Buffalo. Another big thing is that he’s arguably the best run blocker the Bills have. Meaning, by default, I think Daryl Williams will walk.
To replace the predicted hole left by Daryl Williams, I say the Bills will draft Teven Jenkins from Oklahoma State.
One issue the Bills have is their lack of a running game. In my last two mock drafts I had the Bills taking Najee Harris and Travis Etienne. I love the idea of drafting those two, but if an offensive tackle who has great experience in running blocking is available, the Bills have to take him.
As a starter, playing mostly at right tackle, Jenkins was a part of an o-line that cleared up rushing lanes for Chuba Hubbard, who led the nation in rushing in 2019 with 2,094 yards. Hubbard also finished second in touchdowns with 21and led the nation in rush attempts. One thing the Steelers have always wanted to do was establish the run. Mike Tomlin has always been one to try and attack opposing teams with his running backs.
Another thing, Teven Jenkins is a big boy. Standing at 6’6” and weighing in at 320 lbs. Along with his big size, Jenkins also one of the more experienced tackles in this draft, getting playing time each year at Oklahoma State, post his redshirted true freshman season.
I know I keep talking about him being a big part of Oklahoma State’s rushing attack, but Jenkins is just as capable as a pass blocker. Dude has the reach and athletic ability to handle speed on the outside as well as the power to handle the bull rushers.
To say the Bills are lacking in the run game is an understatement. One way to help solve those issues is by improving the offensive line. If the Bills lose Daryl Williams and Teven Jenkins is available, the Bills have to take him. Not only for the run game, but to keep Josh Allen upright as well.
Other picks; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Nick Botlon, LB, Missouri; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State; Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas; Carlos Basham, EDGE, Wake Forest; Aaron Robinson, CB, UCF; Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia; Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia; Asante Samuel Jr., CB, Florida State
31. Kansas City Chiefs; Landon Dickerson, iOL, Alabama
The Kansas City Chiefs had themselves a great season. That being said, 14-2 don't mean a thing without the ring, losing to the Tampa Bay Bucs in the Super Bowl 31-9. To sum up the Super Bowl for you, the Chiefs got absolutely dominated at the line of scrimmage, whether that be on the offensive or defensive side of the ball.
One of the more interesting stats of the night was that Patrick Mahomes was pressured on 29 of 56 drop backs. For those who can't do math, Mahomes was pressured over 50% of the times he dropped back in the game. What makes the stat stand out even more is the fact that 29 of 56 was the most in Super Bowl history.
Another crazy stat from the Super Bowl was the fact that Patrick Mahomes ran for 497 yards to avoid the Bucs pass rush. For those who can't do math, that's nearly 500 yards! Which is easily the most by a QB all season.
The Chiefs offensive line was really depleted in this game, with both offensive tackles, Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz, being out of the game. This should be a warning sign for the Chiefs. They've got to address the offensive line. So, with their first pick in the draft, the Chiefs go after Landon Dickerson from Alabama. Though Dickerson is coming off an ACL injury, his stock is still very high.
The main goal in this draft for the Chiefs should be to protect Patrick Mahomes (see reasoning above), most notably on the interior of their o-line. One big thing with Dickerson is the fact that he has experience playing both guard and center. So wherever they want to play him, he should fit in nicely.
He’s a big dude for an interior offensive lineman, standing 6’6” and weighing 325 lbs. His size can make him somewhat of a match-up nightmare for interior defensive lineman. He’s also very powerful. His size and power make him an awesome potential pick for the Chiefs.
Protect Patrick Mahomes. Again, that’s the goal in this draft. As long as Landon Dickerson can stay healthy, he’ll definitely keep Patrick Mahomes upright. I like the fit of Dickerson in Kansas City.
Other picks; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State; Creed Humphrey, iOL, Oklahoma; Alex Leatherwood, iOL/OT, Alabama; Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU; Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue; Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas; Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers; Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the Super Bowl. This is mock draft 3.0 and that still sounds crazy to say. I guess that’s what happens when you get the greatest player of all time last offseason. Crazy.
So the Bucs won the Super Bowl. One thing you can’t do as a reigning Super Bowl champ is get complacent and stay stagnant. Though the Bucs had an elite pass rush and defensive line lead them to the Super Bowl. The Bucs should definitely strengthen one of these two areas in the Draft.
One thing we should remember about the Bucs is their love for Washington Huskie defensive lineman. In 2017, the Bucs drafted nose tackle Vita Vea and in 2020, they signed yet another d-tackle in Benning Potoa'e as an undrafted free agent. I think the Bucs dipped their hand back into the cookie jar again with this pick, selecting another Washington d-tackle in Levi Onwuzurike.
With this pick, I have flipped back and forth with another Huskie, edge rusherr Joe Tryon. I just feel their need for d-lineman is greater than edge rusher, at this time. My reasoning for this is the fact that I think the Bucs will bring back Shaq Barrett, arguably the most important player on their defense.
Right now, on the Bucs roster, there are only three defensive lineman. Levi Onwuzurike would definitely fill the whole left by the possible departure of Ndamukong Suh. He would slot right in next to Vita Vea and cause a lot of problems from either the five technique or three technique, though he may be considered undersized.
Onwuzurike is a very quick and possesses natural length that causes problems for opposing offensive lineman. At Washington, he put up seven career sacks with 95 total tackles. The great thing about Onwuzurike, he's got room to improve, which excites some teams.
As I said above, his natural athleticism and length are very desirable traits for defensive line needy teams. With this pick, the Bucs get younger and put two former Huskies on their d-line. If the Bucs can bring back Barrett, Onwuzurike would be an awesome pick to help their already awesome defense.
Other picks; Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington; Levi Ronnie Perkins, EDGE, Oklahoma; Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State; Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas; Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa; Wyatt Davis, iOL, Ohio State; Creed Humphrey, iOL, Oklahoma; Alex Leatherwood, iOL/OT, Alabama; Najee Harris, RB, Alabama; Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
Positions drafted
QB; 5
RB; 0
WR; 5
TE; 1
OT; 5
iOL; 2
EDGE; 4
DT; 2
LB; 3
CB; 4
S; 1
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