The Draft "Expert" - Insanely Early 2026 Quarterback Prospect Rankings
- Logan Blackman
- 3 days ago
- 34 min read
Updated: 5 minutes ago
Hello everyone and welcome to my first officially official blog post of the 2026 NFL Draft season! Before you say it I know, this is way too early to be talking about next year's class. I mean hell, the 2025 NFL Draft just wrapped up on April 26th, a short 11-days ago.
So yes, I know this is stupid and won't mean anything once the college football season actually kicks off, this is just a fun little exercise that gives us a chance to look at some of the options for next year's class almost a year in advance (the 2026 NFL Draft starts on April 23rd).
I guess I'm just excited for next year's quarterback class, which should give us a lot more top level options than this year's did. It may be early, but as I see things right now it wouldn't surprise me at all if we saw five quarterbacks go in the first round. Just for reference since 2010, only three draft classes have had more than four quarterbacks selected in the first round (2018, 2021, and 2024), which shows how highly I think of this draft class.
Now that prediction could absolutely blow up in my face, but I do think that this class has the talent to do some pretty special things this upcoming season (this prediction also somewhat depends on if Arch Manning comes out or not).
With all that being said I, Logan Blackman, host of the Logan Blackman Show and the self proclaimed Draft "Expert am proud to present to you my insanely early quarterback rankings for the 2026 NFL Draft! Enjoy!
Podcast Links

1. Drew Allar, Penn State

2024 Season Stats - 262/394 3,327 yds 24 touchdowns 8 interceptions/96 carries 302 yds 6 touchdowns
6'5" 238 lbs.; 21 y/o
Arguably the most physically gifted quarterback in this class, Penn State's Drew Allar has absolutely everything you could look for in a potential franchise quarterback at the next level. At 21-years old, Allar stands at 6'5" and weighs 238 lbs., possessing great size for the position to go along with an excellent arm and above average athletic ability. Arguably the most effortless thrower in this class, Allar can make every single throw on the football field, making throws from the near hash to the far sideline (and vice versa) look like they're screen passes to the running back(s) out of the backfield. That being said there are times he may be better served taking some juice off of the ball as his accuracy can wain on him at times as he can sometimes put a little too much on the ball, missing receivers. He definitely has some 'arm arrogance,' which can be both a good thing and a bad thing, depending how you look at it. Though he may not be the most electric athlete in this class, Allar can break off decent gains when he needs to while also being able to navigate the pocket really well. He's still a working progress, which is why he came back to school, but with his skillset he would have probably been a first round pick had he come out this past season. There's a lot to like with him as a prospect, and I'm sure he'll be compared to Josh Allen at least 100-times leading up to the draft. I'm excited to see what he does this upcoming season.
Wk 15 - 20/39 226 yds 3 touchdowns 2 interceptions/5 carries 54 yds 1 touchdown v no.1 Oregon (45-37 L) (Big Ten Championship)
Like I mentioned before there is a whole lot to like about Drew Allar as a prospect. He's obviously still a work in progress but his size mixed with his incredible arm strength and his mobility make him one of the favorites to be selected with the first overall pick in next year's draft. With Penn State bringing back a lot of key pieces from last year's team that made it to the College Football Playoff semifinal (minus Tyler Warren), I think Allar and the Nittany Lions could put forth an excellent campaign.
2. Garrett Nussmeier, LSU

2024 Season Stats - 337/525 4,052 yds 29 touchdowns 12 interceptions/34 carries -38 yds 3 touchdowns
6'2" 200 lbs.; 23 y/o
In my opinion, Garrett Nussmeier is one of the most fun quarterbacks to watch in all of college football. A true gunslinger in the truest sense of the word, Nussmeier is not afraid to make any throw on the football field, showcasing a live and flexible arm that can make every throw on the field with great anticipation. There were numerous times this past season where Nussmeier would let it rip with the receiver still behind the defender. That being said there are times where Nussmeier can force the issue a little too much (as he registered 12-interceptions last season), still needing to fully grasp that not every play needs to be a touchdown or a massive gain. He may not be the most electrifying athlete out of the top quarterbacks in this year's class, but the dude is not afraid to fight and claw for extra yards in the run game when his team needs it. Along with that Nussmeier is one of the best pocket navigators in the class, possessing excellent foot work while only taking 16-sacks this past season (seven coming against Florida). Though he's not the biggest prospect, Nussmeier is tough as hell and strong in the pocket while also being great at rolling out to either the left or right and making throws on the run with accuracy. The dude has a very solid chance at being the first quarterback selected in the 2026 NFL Draft.
Wk 7 - 22/51 337 yds 3 touchdowns 2 interceptions/2 carries 16 yds 0 touchdowns v no.9 Ole Miss (29-26 OT W)
The Garrett Nussmeier ride can be a little crazy at times, but there are very few quarterbacks in all of college football that can make the plays he can when everything is lined up. Like I said before, the dude has an incredibly live and flexible arm, able to fit the ball in any window from any angle. He roles out to his left and right really well and can make plays with his legs in the run game when he needs to. He's tough as hell and will do anything to help his team get over the line, which is what you want from your quarterback. There's no doubt in my mind that Nussmeier has the skillset to be the first quarterback off the board in next year's draft.
3. Arch Manning, Texas

2024 Season Stats - 61/90 939 yds 9 touchdowns 2 interceptions/25 carries 108 yds 4 touchdowns
6'4" 225 lbs.; 21 y/o
I know there's probably a very solid chance that Texas' Arch Manning stays at least another in college, but the fact of the matter is that he is currently available for selection in the 2026 NFL Draft, so why not take a look at him throughout the season, right? Now, out of all the top quarterbacks available at this point, Manning has started the least amount of games by far, starting against UL Monroe and Mississippi State, throwing for a combined 583-yards with four passing touchdowns and two interceptions (both coming against UL Monroe). In total, Manning registered 939-passing yards with nine touchdowns and two interceptions with a nice 108-yards on the ground and a further four touchdowns. Manning's athletic ability was on display a few times this past season while in Austin, being used as a short yardage runner on more than a few occasions. With incumbent starter Quinn Ewers leaving for the NFL, Manning has a chance to flash that insane potential that saw him ranked as the nation's top prospect (per 24/7) back in 2022. I know a lot of people are going to have him as their QB1 going into the season, I just want to see him play more games this season before putting him atop the rankings. I have no doubt that his overall skillset will make Texas an insanely tough team to stop this season, with Manning potentially moving up to QB1 as the season goes along (again, he could very well stay back in college for at least another season).
Wk 5 - 26/31 325 yds 2 touchdowns 0 interceptions/6 carries 33 yds 1 touchdown v Mississippi State (35-13 W)
Like I brought up before, Manning is going to be one of the most sought after quarterbacks in this class. A nice blend of arm talent and athleticism, Manning has all the attributes you look for in a top quarterback prospect. With Ewers leaving, Manning will have full control of Texas' high powered offense and there's no doubt in my mind that he could wind up being QB1 when it's all said and done (if he comes out, out course). He's got everything, I just want to see more him in more games.
4. LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina

2024 Season Stats - 196/299 2,534 yds 18 touchdowns 7 interceptions/166 carries 674 yds 7 touchdowns
6'3" 242 lbs.; 19 y/o
You know how I said Penn State's Drew Allar was arguably the most physically gifted quarterback in this draft class? Well, South Carolina's LaNorris Sellers may have something to say about that. At 19-years old, Sellers comes in at 6'3" 242 lbs., possessing an insanely strong arm to go along with his natural athletic ability. Despite not getting off to the hottest start to last season, Sellers put forth some solid games against top 25 opponents, registering 10-passing touchdowns and five interceptions in seven games against said opponents. Along with that, he also registered 498-yards on the ground as well with a further five touchdowns to boot. In his first year as South Carolina's starter following Spencer Rattler leaving for the NFL, Sellers flashed his elite traits but also reminded us that he is still an incredibly raw product. Again though the dude is only 19-years old, and despite that he is a decently refined passer with great speed to boot, with his size making him hard to bring down once he gets into the open field (broke 47-tackles this past season). He may force the ball from time to time which led to some unfortunate interceptions. He also led the nation in fumbles (11, losing six of them) from the quarterback position, which is something that is definitely going to need improved upon at the next level. Overall Sellers possesses a lot of enticing tools, and if he's able to fully refine them he could have a really special season.
Wk 12 - 21/30 353 yds 5 touchdowns 1 interception/14 carries 45 yds 0 touchdowns v no.23 Missouri (34-30 W)
Like I brought up before, Sellers is the complete package at the quarterback position, possessing many elite traits that could make teams drool come draft time. Though he still has room to grow and improve, the ceiling for Sellers may be one of the highest in this draft class. If he's able to put everything together this season, there's no doubt he could be the first pick in the draft next year.
5. Cade Klubnik, Clemson

2024 Season Stats - 308/486 3,639 yds 36 touchdowns 6 interceptions/119 carries 463 yds 7 touchdowns
6'2" 210 lbs.; 21 y/o
Clemson's Cade Klubnik quietly had one of the best statistical year's from the quarterback position this past season. Never getting spoken about all too highly, Klubnik threw for 3,639-yards with 36-touchdowns and just six interceptions with a further 463-yards on the ground and a further seven touchdowns as Clemson won the ACC Championship and made an appearance in the College Football Playoff. A five star recruit coming out of high school, Klubnik took over as Clemson's starting quarterback last season as another five star (DJ Uiagalelei) transferred up to Oregon State. The dude took a big step in his development from year one to year two as the full time starter, showcasing a good arm that can make throws from any angle as well as plus athleticism, able to scramble and pick up yards when the play starts to break down. Though he's a good athlete he doesn't need to rely on that all too often as he is a really strong thrower from the pocket, maneuvering the pocket with ease while possessing really nice touch and accuracy, especially on throws outside the numbers. He may not be the most anticipatory thrower out there, and he still needs to improve upon throwing across the middle (not that he's bad at it) but overall I think Klubnik has the tools to be a successful quarterback at the next level.
CFP First Round - 26/43 336 yds 3 touchdowns 1 interception/13 carries 5 yds 0 touchdowns @ no.5 Texas (38-24 L)
Like I said before, Klubnik may be the most accurate quarterback in this draft class when it comes to throwing outside the numbers. He is a very confident thrower and is able to navigate the pocket really well in the face of pressure, as his athleticism allows him to create more opportunities for himself. Overall he's got a very nice toolset for the next level and could very well end up being the first quarterback taken in the draft if he continues to improve like he did last year.
6. Fernando Mendoza, Indiana (Cal)

2024 Season Stats - 265/386 3,004 yds 16 touchdowns 6 interceptions/87 carries 105 yds 2 touchdowns (Cal)
6'5" 225 lbs.; 21 y/o
Indiana's Fernando Mendoza may be one of the quarterbacks I'm most excited to see this upcoming season. A transfer from Cal, Mendoza is coming from an offense that was as blazay as possible to Curt Cignetti's high powered Indiana team should make for a very fun connection. Mendoza was a bright spot for a Golden Bears team that finished the season with a 6-7 record. Despite missing the final two games of the season due to illness (and entering the transfer portal prior to their bowl game against UNLV) Mendoza was seen as one of the top passers in a conference that featured the likes of Kyle McCord, Cam Ward, Cade Klubnik, ansd Tyler Shough, with the first two were first and second in the nation in passing yards. A two year starter at Cal Mendoza can boast one of the top arms in the draft, possessing excellent timing to go along with an explosive release. He's also a very solid athlete (despite the lower rushing yard total) who can make throws on the run while also being able to pick up solid gains on the ground when needed, breaking off more than a couple 20+ yard runs this past season. Mendoza may not be getting a ton of first round hype right now, but his combination of size (6'5" 225 lbs.) and arm talent (mixed in Cignetti's offense) could definitely get him there when this is all said and done.
Wk 13 - 25/36 299 yds 3 touchdowns 0 interceptions/11 carries 35 yds 0 touchdowns v Stanford (24-21 W)
The first transfer on this list, Indiana's Fernando Mendoza will again be one of the more exciting quarterbacks to watch this coming season. Good size with a strong arm and good mobility, if the Hoosiers are able to replicate what they did last year there's no reason why Mendoza can't enter first round conversations. Like he said this past season, he was a game manager his first year, now he wants to control it, he should be a lot of fun to watch this season.
7. Sam Leavitt, Arizona State

2024 Season Stats - 216/350 2,885 yds 24 touchdowns 6 interceptions/110 carries 443 yds 5 touchdowns
6'2" 200 lbs.; 20 y/o
Like most of his teammates, Arizona State quarterback Sam Leavitt really flew under the radar under later on in the season last time out. Projected to finish dead last in the conference at Big 12 media days, the Sun Devils not only avoided the bottom spot, but also took home the conference title in their first year, finishing with an impressive 11-3 record while coming in as a four seed in the first ever 12-team College Football Playoff. To say Arizona State exceeded expectations would be a drastic understatement. I mean, how many teams out there can you think of that were projected to finish dead last in their conference by the respected media before going on to win the whole damn thing, while also taking Texas to double overtime in the second round of the aforementioned Playoff. Though running back Cam Skattebo grabbed most of the headlines (and deservingly so) but quarterback Sam Leavitt was no slouch in his own right. A transfer from Michigan State in his first year as the starter, Leavitt accounted for 2,885-yards with 24-touchdowns and six interceptions to go along with 443-yards on the ground and five further touchdowns. Though he's not the most intimidating presence, Leavitt is an excellent athlete who makes really smart decisions with the ball in his hand. Rarely putting the ball in harms way, Leavitt only registered five turnover worthy throws this past season, tied for third nationally. Along with that he possesses very good pocket awareness, rarely looking flustered while also being able to pick up big chunks with his legs. Though he doesn't have the quickest release, Leavitt also possesses a good arm and is quick when it comes to processing down the field. With Skattebo gone, all the attention in Arizona State's offense will turn to Leavitt, lets see if he's up to the challenge.
CFP First Round - 24/46 222 yds 0 touchdowns 1 interception/13 carries 60 yds 0 touchdowns v no.5 Texas (39-31 2OT L)
I know he didn't register a touchdown against Texas, but against one of the nation's top defenses I thought Leavitt put forth a very solid performance, both as a passer and as a runner. I think it's clear to see why Leavitt is generating some hype going into this season. He has the arm, athleticism, and is smart with the ball in his hands, everything you could really ask for in a quarterback. Like I mentioned before though, I am intrigued to see how he does this year with everyone's eyes squarely on him. Will he live up to the hype, or will he crumble? I think he has all the tools to succeed this season, but I guess we'll just have to wait and see, right?
8. Carson Beck, Miami (FL) (Georgia)

2024 Season Stats - 290/448 3,485 yds 28 touchdowns 12 interceptions/55 carries 71 yds 1 touchdown (Georgia)
6'4" 220 lbs.; 23 y/o
Once seen as one of the draft's top quarterback options, former Georgia quarterback Carson Beck has moved schools this offseason, transferring to Miami (FL) to try and replace this year's first overall pick, Cam Ward. Easier said than done, am I right? That being said Beck is a solid quarterback who took a lot of flack this past season for some mightily inconsistent performance. Like I alluded to before, Beck was widely considered to be the top quarterback in the draft last offseason, with him and Colorado's Shedeur Sanders seen as the top two options going into the season. Though he put forth a solid showing in a week one blowout against Clemson, people really started turning Beck following Georgia's road loss to Alabama, a game where Beck completed 54% of his passes while register three touchdowns and four total turnovers (three interceptions and a fumble). He also gave up a safety in the game as well, getting flagged for intentional grounding while he was in the end zone. Beck really struggled to find his footing after that game, registering seven touchdowns and nine interceptions through Georgia's next five games. That being said Beck strung some nice performances together to close out the season, registering 11-touchdowns and zero interceptions in their final three regular season games, before ending his season by getting knocked out against Texas in the SEC Championship game. Overall, Beck possesses the ideal size team's are looking for in quarterbacks at the next level. Best when working in the short and intermediate game, Beck has a decently quick release and is very accurate when working those parts of the field. That being said Beck is a very confidence based player, and can sometimes get into a funk when things aren't going his way. Overall I think he can get back to being in the first round conversation (especially in Miami's offense), but I need to see some consistency from him before I place him any higher than here.
Wk 14 - 28/43 297 yds 5 touchdowns 0 interceptions/7 carries 10 yds 0 touchdowns v Georgia Tech (44-42 8OT W)
Carson Beck will be one to watch this upcoming season. After failing to live up to last season's lofty expectations, Beck has a lot of work to do to get back in that first round conversation. He possesses specific traits teams will be looking for, it's just a matter of if he's able to string consistent performances together. He's got a new lease on life down in Miami and I'm excited to see how he handles it.
9. John Mateer, Oklahoma (Washington State)

2024 Season Stats - 224/347 3,139 yds 29 touchdowns 7 interceptions/178 carries 826 yds 15 touchdowns (Washington State)
6'1" 219 lbs.; 21 y/o
Arguably the most sought after quarterback in this year's transfer portal, numerous teams out there were trying to secure the services of Washington State's John Mateer. In the end, Brent Venables and the Oklahoma Sooners brought him in to replace outgoing former five star Jackson Arnold, as Mateer followed his offensive coordinator and quarterback coach, Ben Arbuckle. Despite only being the 'main guy' at Washington State for one season (as he sat behind Cam Ward), Mateer put up some impressive numbers in the vaunted PAC-2, throwing for 3,139-yards with 29-touchdowns and seven interceptions to go along with 826-yards and 15-touchdowns on the ground (running a lot of quarterback keepers and quarterback counters), with those last two numbers outpacing every other quarterback in this top 10 (even LaNorris Sellers). Though he may not be the biggest quarterback in this class at 6'1" 219, Mateer is a natural dual threat quarterback who forced 55-missed tackles this past season. Along with his athleticism Mateer does possess a strong arm and is really good when rolling outside the pocket and making throws on the run. Though he can be a little too over confident at times (which is both a good thing and a bad thing) Mateer is someone who could help put Oklahoma back on the map. If he's able to carry with Washington State form down to Norman, we could be looking at a very special season from their new quarterback.
Wk 4 - 26/46 390 yds 4 touchdowns 2 interceptions/18 carries 111 yds 1 touchdown v San Jose State (54-52 2OT W)
I've said it more than one occasion throughout this section but I'll say it again, John Mateer is just a gamer. You never really know what you're going to get from him each and every play but I can promise you that it's going to be exciting. A good athlete with a good arm and quick release, Mateer is someone who could really be involved in Heisman conversations if he's able to help Oklahoma navigate through a tough schedule. I'm really excited to see what he does this season, especially if he's able to make plays this year like he did at Washington State.
10. Sawyer Robertson, Baylor

2024 Season Stats - 229/368 3,071 yds 28 touchdowns 8 interceptions/63 carries 230 yds 4 touchdowns
6'4" 220 lbs.; 22 y/o
A name that I've been seeing more and more this offseason when it comes to the top quarterbacks in next year's class is Baylor's Sawyer Robertson. Starting off as the back-up to Toledo transfer Dequan Finn, Robertson took over as Baylor's starter after Finn missed their third game of the season against Air Force due to injury following a rough game against Utah in week two. Despite picking up a win against the aforementioned Falcons, Baylor went on to lose each of their next three games against Colorado, BYU, and Iowa State, with two of those games being on the road and two against top 25 opponents (Iowa State is in both categories). After those loses Baylor would get things right, with Robertson quarterbacking them to six straight wins to close out the regular season, where he finished with 3,071-yards with 28-touchdowns and eight interceptions along with a further 230-yards on the ground and four touchdowns. Despite again not being the starter to kick off the season, Robertson more than proved that this was his team moving forward. Another quarterback with a baseball background, Robertson is a really good downfield passer (who ranked fourth nationally in regards to downfield accuracy) along with being a good athlete with the ball in his hands. An overall effortless thrower, Robertson can make numerous plays off script and can let it rip from any angle, not afraid to roll outside the pocket and extend plays when necessary. At 6'4" 220, Robertson can boast some pretty high upside and I'm excited to see how he does as Baylor's full time starter going into the season.
Bowl Game - 30/51 445 yds 2 touchdowns 1 interception/4 carries 3 yds 0 touchdowns v LSU (44-31 L) (Kinder's Texas Bowl)
Like I mentioned before, Robertson will be one of the more intriguing prospects in this class when the draft rolls around. Good size with a good arm and good athleticism, Robertson can make a bunch of plays for you from the quarterback position. He's got a lot of upside, I just hope that he's able to reach it this coming season in his second season as the full time starter.
Others
*alphabetical order
Luke Altmyer, Illinois
Jackson Arnold, Auburn (Oklahoma)
Rocco Becht, Iowa State
Aidan Chiles, Michigan State
Jalon Daniels, Kansas
Kyron Drones, Virginia Tech
Noah Fifita, Arizona
Taylen Green, Arkansas
Mark Gronowski, Iowa (South Dakota State)
Eli Holstein, Pitt
Nico Iamaleava, UCLA (Tennessee)
Avery Johnson, Kansas State
Haynes King, Georgia Tech
Jayden Maiava, USC
Dante Moore, Oregon
Miller Moss, Louisville (USC)
Malachi Nelson, UTEP (Boise State)
Kaidon Salter, Colorado (Liberty)
Ty Simpson, Alabama
Conner Weigman, Houston (Texas A&M)
Thank you for taking the time to read through the list! Hope you enjoyed it! If you did, give the article a like and comment down below how you felt!
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